Efectos del desplazamiento forzado interno sobre la delincuencia: evidencia de Colombia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17533/udea.le.n101a353012Palabras clave:
desplazamiento interno forzado, criminalidad, panel espacial, Colombia, América Latina, migración internaResumen
El desplazamiento forzado interno, consecuencia de las estrategias de control territorial de los grupos armados, ha resultado en profundos desafíos socioeconómicos para las zonas receptoras. Aproximadamente ocho millones de personas se han visto afectadas en Colombia, donde el conflicto interno y las redes criminales han prevalecido durante más de cinco décadas. Este artículo explora la relación entre la migración interna forzada y las tasas de criminalidad en los municipios colombianos de 2003 a 2016, enfocándose en la dinámica espacial. El estudio utiliza un modelo de panel espacial y considera cinco categorías de delitos: homicidios, secuestros, lesiones personales, robo de automóviles y robo residencial. Los resultados revelan asociaciones significativas entre el desplazamiento forzado y ciertos tipos de delincuencia, destacando la importancia del análisis espacial para comprender la interacción entre migración y delincuencia. Los hallazgos ofrecen información valiosa para los formuladores de políticas y los investigadores, facilitando intervenciones políticas informadas e iniciativas comunitarias para abordar las repercusiones de la migración interna en la dinámica del crimen.
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