Mobilité des revenus et de la richesse parmi les plus riches : le cas des déclarants de l'impôt sur le revenu en Colombie
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.17533/udea.le.n104a359194Mots-clés :
Mobility, inequality, gender, tax, ColombiaRésumé
Cet article analyse la mobilité des revenus et des richesses et l'évolution des inégalités de revenus en Colombie entre 2014 et 2022, en mettant l'accent sur le genre et la fiscalité. La Colombie se caractérise par l'un des niveaux d'inégalité de revenus les plus élevés au monde, ce qui fait de la mobilité économique une question cruciale.
Nos résultats suggèrent une double nature de la mobilité économique. D'une part, la mobilité des revenus est importante, les personnes étant susceptibles de passer du centile de revenu le plus bas au centile de revenu le plus élevé en moins de dix ans. D'autre part, cette mobilité ne réduit pas efficacement les inégalités de revenus et les écarts entre les hommes et les femmes. La mobilité des revenus est plus prononcée chez les hommes, qui ont connu des gains plus élevés ou des pertes plus faibles, et qui sont surreprésentés dans les centiles de revenus les plus élevés. La fiscalité semble avoir un impact limité sur l'atténuation de ces inégalités, ce qui suggère la nécessité de poursuivre les recherches dans ce domaine.
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Références
Akee, R., Jones, M. R., & Porter, S. R. (2017). Adding Insult to Injury: Racial Disparity in an Era of Increasing Income Inequality [Working Paper No. CARRA-WP- 2017-01]. the United States Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2017/adrm/carra-wp-2017-01.html
Auten, G., & Gee, G. (2009). Income Mobility in the United States: New Evidence from Income Tax Data. National tax journal, 62(2), 301-328. https://ideas.repec.org/a/ntj/journl/v62y2009i2p301-28.html
Auten, G., Gee, G., & Turner, N. (2013). New Perspectives on Income Mobility and Inequality. National Tax Journal, 66(4), 893-912. https://www.jstor.org/stable/24370049
Bradbury, K. (2016). Levels and Trends in the Income Mobility of US families, 1977− 2012 [Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Working Papers. No. 16-8]. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. https://www.bostonfed.org/publications/research-department-working-paper/2016/levels-and-trends-in-the-income-mobility-of-us-families-1977-2012.aspx
Carroll, D. R., & Chen, A. (2016, 20 June). Income Inequality Matters, But Mobility Is Just as Important [Economic Commentary]. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-ec-201606
Conley, D., & Glauber, R. (2007). Family Background, Race, and Labor Market Inequality. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 609(1), 134-152. https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/anname/v609y2007i1p134-152.html
de la Maisonneuve, C. (2017). Towards More Inclusive Growth in Colombia [OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1423]. OECD https://doi.org/10.1787/334902e0-en
Federman, S., Sarid, A., & Yaish, M. (2023). The Intragenerational Mobility of The Top Income Earners during Financial Crises, a Story of a Cohort. Advances in Life Course Research, 58, 100565. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100565
García, S., Rodríguez, C., Sánchez, F., & Bedoya, J. G. (2015). La lotería de la cuna: La movilidad social a través de la educación en los municipios de Colombia [Documentos CEDE, No. 13816). Universidad de los Andes. https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/013816.html
Galvis–Aponte, L. A & Meisel, A. (2014). Aspectos regionales de la movilidad social y la igualdad de oportunidades en Colombia. Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana; No. 196. https://www.banrep.gov.co/sites/default/files/publicaciones/archivos/dtser_196.pdf
Genicot, G., Ray, D., & Concha-Arriagada, C. (2024). Upward Mobility in Developing Countries (NBER Working Paper No. w32391). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/papers/w32391
Jianakoplos, N. A., & Menchik, P. L. (1997). Wealth mobility. Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(1), 18-31. https://econpapers.repec.org/article/tprrestat/v_3a79_3ay_3a1997_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a18-31.htm
Larrimore, J., Mortenson, J., & Splinter, D. (2020). Presence and persistence of poverty in US tax data [NBERN Working Paper No. c14440). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26966/w26966.pdf
Londoño, J. (2012). Income and Wealth At the Top in Colombia: An Exploration of Tax Records 1993-2010 (Public Policy and Development Master Dissertation). Paris School of Economics, http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/LondonoVelez2012MasterThesis.pdf
McKernan, S. M., & Ratcliffe, C. E. (2009). Asset Building for Today's Stability and Tomorrow's Security. New England Community Developments, (2). https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2205912
Meschede, T., Thomas, H., Mann, A., Stagg, A., & Shapiro, T. (2016). Wealth Mobility of Families Raising Children in the Twenty-First Century. Race and Social Problems, 8, 77-92. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12552-016-9161-1
Neidhöfer, G. (2019). Intergenerational Mobility and the Rise and Fall of Inequality: Lessons from Latin America. The Journal of Economic Inequality, 17(4), 499-520. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10888-019-09415-9
Nguyen, C. V., & Nguyen, L. T. (2020). Intra-generational and Intergenerational Social Mobility: Evidence from Vietnam. Journal of Asian and African Studies, 55(3), 370-397. https://doi.org/10.1177/0021909619876320
Savegnago, M. (2016). igmobil: A command for intergenerational mobility analysis in Stata. The Stata Journal, 16(2), 386-402. https://ideas.repec.org/a/tsj/stataj/y16y2016i2p386-402.html
Steckel, R. H., & Krishnan, J. (2006). The Wealth Mobility of Men and Women During the 1960s and 1970s. Review of Income and Wealth, 52(2), 189-212. https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/revinw/v52y2006i2p189-212.html
Piketty, T., & Zucman, G. (2014). Capital is Back: Wealth-income Ratios in Rich Countries 1700–2010. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(3), 1255-1310. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qju018
Plewis, I., & Bartley, M. (2014). Intra-generational Social Mobility and Educational Qualifications. Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, 36, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rssm.2013.10.001
Splinter, D. (2022). Income Mobility and Inequality: Adult‐Level Measures from the Us Tax Data Since 1979. Review of Income and Wealth, 68(4), 906-921. https://doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12501
Splinter, D., Diamond, J., & Bryant, V. (2009). Income Volatility and Mobility: US Income Tax Data, 1999-2007. In Proceedings. Annual Conference on Taxation and Minutes of the Annual Meeting of the National Tax Association (Vol. 102, pp. 1-10). National Tax Association. https://www.jstor.org/stable/prancotamamnta.102
World Bank. (2021). Building an Equitable Society in Colombia. World Bank.
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(c) Tous droits réservés Akee, R., Jones, M. R., & Porter, S. R. (2017). Adding Insult to Injury: Racial Disparity in an Era of Increasing Income Inequality [Working Paper No. CARRA-WP- 2017-01]. the United States Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2017/adrm/carra-wp-2017-01.html Auten, G., & Gee, G. (2009). Income Mobility in the United States: New Evidence from Income Tax Data. National tax journal, 62(2), 301-328. https://ideas.repec.org/a/ntj/journl/v62y2009i2p301-28.html Auten, G., Gee, G., & Turner, N. (2013). New Perspectives on Income Mobility and Inequality. National Tax Journal, 66(4), 893-912. https://www.jstor.org/stable/24370049 Bradbury, K. (2016). Levels and Trends in the Income Mobility of US families, 1977− 2012 [Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Working Papers. No. 16-8]. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. https://www.bostonfed.org/publications/research-department-working-paper/2016/levels-and-trends-in-the-income-mobility-of-us-families-1977-2012.aspx Carroll, D. R., & Chen, A. (2016, 20 June). Income Inequality Matters, But Mobility Is Just as Important [Economic Commentary]. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-ec-201606 Conley, D., & Glauber, R. (2007). Family Background, Race, and Labor Market Inequality. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 609(1), 134-152. https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/anname/v609y2007i1p134-152.html de la Maisonneuve, C. (2017). Towards More Inclusive Growth in Colombia [OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. 1423]. OECD https://doi.org/10.1787/334902e0-en Federman, S., Sarid, A., & Yaish, M. (2023). The Intragenerational Mobility of The Top Income Earners during Financial Crises, a Story of a Cohort. Advances in Life Course Research, 58, 100565. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.alcr.2023.100565 García, S., Rodríguez, C., Sánchez, F., & Bedoya, J. G. (2015). La lotería de la cuna: La movilidad social a través de la educación en los municipios de Colombia [Documentos CEDE, No. 13816). Universidad de los Andes. https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/013816.html Galvis–Aponte, L. A & Meisel, A. (2014). Aspectos regionales de la movilidad social y la igualdad de oportunidades en Colombia. Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana; No. 196. https://www.banrep.gov.co/sites/default/files/publicaciones/archivos/dtser_196.pdf Genicot, G., Ray, D., & Concha-Arriagada, C. (2024). Upward Mobility in Developing Countries (NBER Working Paper No. w32391). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/papers/w32391 Jianakoplos, N. A., & Menchik, P. L. (1997). Wealth mobility. Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(1), 18-31. https://econpapers.repec.org/article/tprrestat/v_3a79_3ay_3a1997_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a18-31.htm Larrimore, J., Mortenson, J., & Splinter, D. (2020). Presence and persistence of poverty in US tax data [NBERN Working Paper No. c14440). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26966/w26966.pdf Londoño, J. (2012). Income and Wealth At the Top in Colombia: An Exploration of Tax Records 1993-2010 (Public Policy and Development Master Dissertation). Paris School of Economics, http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/files/LondonoVelez2012MasterThesis.pdf McKernan, S. M., & Ratcliffe, C. E. (2009). Asset Building for Today's Stability and Tomorrow's Security. New England Community Developments, (2). https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2205912 Meschede, T., Thomas, H., Mann, A., Stagg, A., & Shapiro, T. (2016). Wealth Mobility of Families Raising Children in the Twenty-First Century. Race and Social Problems, 8, 77-92. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12552-016-9161-1 Neidhöfer, G. (2019). Intergenerational Mobility and the Rise and Fall of Inequality: Lessons from Latin America. The Journal of Economic Inequality, 17(4), 499-520. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10888-019-09415-9 Nguyen, C. V., & Nguyen, L. T. (2020). Intra-generational and Intergenerational Social Mobility: Evidence from Vietnam. Journal of Asian and African Studies, 55(3), 370-397. https://doi.org/10.1177/0021909619876320 Savegnago, M. (2016). igmobil: A command for intergenerational mobility analysis in Stata. The Stata Journal, 16(2), 386-402. https://ideas.repec.org/a/tsj/stataj/y16y2016i2p386-402.html Steckel, R. H., & Krishnan, J. (2006). The Wealth Mobility of Men and Women During the 1960s and 1970s. Review of Income and Wealth, 52(2), 189-212. https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/revinw/v52y2006i2p189-212.html Piketty, T., & Zucman, G. (2014). Capital is Back: Wealth-income Ratios in Rich Countries 1700–2010. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(3), 1255-1310. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qju018 Plewis, I., & Bartley, M. (2014). Intra-generational Social Mobility and Educational Qualifications. Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, 36, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rssm.2013.10.001 Splinter, D. (2022). Income Mobility and Inequality: Adult‐Level Measures from the Us Tax Data Since 1979. Review of Income and Wealth, 68(4), 906-921. https://doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12501 Splinter, D., Diamond, J., & Bryant, V. (2009). Income Volatility and Mobility: US Income Tax Data, 1999-2007. In Proceedings. Annual Conference on Taxation and Minutes of the Annual Meeting of the National Tax Association (Vol. 102, pp. 1-10). National Tax Association. https://www.jstor.org/stable/prancotamamnta.102 World Bank. (2021). Building an Equitable Society in Colombia. World Bank. 2025

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