Demografía, juventud y homicidios en Colombia, 1979-2006

Leonardo Bonilla Mejía

doi:10.17533/udea.le.n72a6501

Authors

Leonardo Bonilla Mejía Bank of the Republic

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17533/udea.le.n72a6501

Keywords:

Homicide, demographics, youth, ecological fallacy, Colombia

Abstract

During the sixties, Colombian population grew faster than ever. Children that were born during that particular period became young adults in the decades of the eighties and nineties, the same years in which homicide rates reached historical maximums. The purpose of this paper is to clarify the relationship between these two phenomena. Can the explosive increases in homicide rates be attributed to demographic change? Cohort-level data on population and homicide victims is used to explore two mechanisms through which population forces could affect homicide rates; these mechanisms are composition effect and age-specific effect.

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Author Biography

Leonardo Bonilla Mejía, Bank of the Republic

Economist at the Center for Regional Economic Studies (CEER) of the Banco de la República

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