Composición de las exportaciones y crecimiento económico en la Comunidad Andina de Naciones

Silvia Reyes; Sergio Jiménez

doi:10.17533/udea.le.n77a14770

Auteurs-es

Silvia Reyes Université de Pampelune
Sergio Jiménez Univiversité de Pampelune

DOI :

https://doi.org/10.17533/udea.le.n77a14770

Mots-clés :

croissance économique, données de panneau, estimation SURE, composition des exportations, CAN

Résumé

Cet article analyse le rapport entre la composition des exportations et la croissance. Dans le cadre théorique élaboré par Feder (1983) et Crespo-Carême et Wörz (2005), nous proposons un modèle de données de panneau pour la Bolivie, la Colombie, l’Équateur, le Pérou et le Venezuela pour la période 1970-2009. Il s’agit des pays membres de la Communauté Andine à l’exception du Venezuela depuis 2011. L’analyse est fait pour chaque pays et pour les pays dans son ensemble à travers la méthode SURE. Nous analysons le degré de désagrégation des exportations pour ensuite les regrouper en fonction de leur niveau d’intensité technologique. Les résultats montrent que la structure des exportations est différente pour chaque pays et les effets sont répartis sur les différents types d’exportations. Nous montrons que la plupart des exportations qui ont un impact positif et significatif sur la croissance des pays andins, correspondent à l’industrie manufacturière et aux exportations de haute technologie. Cet impact est mise en oeuvre à travers un effet d’externalité.

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Bibliographies de l'auteur-e

Silvia Reyes, Université de Pampelune

Professeur du Département d'économie, Université de Pampelune, Colombie

Sergio Jiménez, Univiversité de Pampelune

Professeur assistant Département d'économie, Université de Pampelune, Colombie

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