evaluación del producto satelital de precipitación IMERG para derivar curvas intensidad-duración-frecuencia en Colombia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17533/udea.redin.20230212Palabras clave:
Precipitación, Sensoramiento Remoto, ColombiaResumen
El artículo investiga las potencialidades del producto de precipitación satelital IMERG V06B FINAL para estimar intensidades de curvas intensidad-duración-frecuencia en Colombia, a partir de información de 110 estaciones. Utilizando datos para 76 de estas estaciones en el período 2001-2019, se validó el producto IMERG a nivel diario, mensual y anual. En 60 de estas estaciones se ha encontrado que el producto obtiene mejores resultados en la escala mensual, seguida de las escalas anual y diaria, lo cual indica que la estacionalidad es la principal característica de la lluvia adecuadamente capturada por el producto. En general, la comparación entre curvas IDF existentes y las derivadas a partir de IMERG mostró subestimaciones para las intensidades de precipitación correspondientes a las duraciones más cortas (0.5 y 1 h), con errores relativos medios en el rango [-69%, +56%], y sobreestimaciones para las duraciones más grandes de 2 y 6 h, con errores medios relativos en el rango [-61%, +171%]. Los resultados obtenidos sugieren que el producto IMERG en la actualidad no es capaz de capturar la distribución de la lluvia diaria en la mayoría de las estaciones. A pesar de esto, para cerca del 20% de las estaciones, ubicadas principalmente en las regiones Orinoquía, Amazonía y Pacífica, los análisis muestran que las intensidades máximas derivadas de IMERG se encuentran dentro de +/-25% de error relativo, en comparación con las deducidas utilizando el método tradicional.
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